The mysteries of Erdogan

Did he trade with ISIS?

In the midst of the crisis in Russian-Turkish relations, the authorities of our country have repeatedly stated that their Turkish counterparts have a direct bearing on the trade in hydrocarbons with the terrorist Islamic state. The photographs of the tanks, sent from the areas occupied by militants towards Turkey, were published. Some of these columns were attacked by Russian aircraft. Moreover, even lists of persons involved in these trade operations were cited. The names of the immediate relatives of Recep Tayyip Erdogan himself appeared in them.

The Turks seemed to be trying to justify themselves, but pretended that they were not interested in all this. Nevertheless, inside Russia, the society was convinced that Ankara actually supports terrorists.

A few months later the situation changed dramatically. Erdogan apologized for the downed Russian plane and offered to be friends, and later the person who decided on this provocation was arrested, however, on some other occasion, perhaps, far-fetched. After that, the Russian Federation preferred to forget about such high-profile accusations, and the case with Turkey went up the hill. Many still use this story as evidence of the inconsistency of Russian foreign policy.

But it should be noted that this is not surprising. The key word here is “politics”, and it depends on the circumstances that exist at a particular point in time. Indicative in this case is the example of Trump and Eun. It is worth remembering how at first they poured mud at each other, and so suddenly they began to compete in the one who came up with the best epithet for his colleague. That’s how “psychos” become “great negotiators” and “talented” people (Trump allowed himself to call the North Korean leader crazy, and then suddenly changed his mind and gave a much more beautiful characterization). In general, everything is quite simple.

In the Russian-Turkish case, the situation is much the same, however, the new data does not gradually forget the history. So one of the leaders of the Islamic state, Razik Radik Maksimo, captured by Kurdish militia (according to unconfirmed reports he is from Azerbaijan), gave interviews to journalists the other day.

According to him, he was personally responsible for selling oil. During the trade, he had to deal with many parties, in particular, he said that he was selling oil to Turkey and even to Damascus. It is not known how he traded with the official Syrian authorities, but in the case of Ankara, the Syrian Free Army acted as an intermediary (it is a close ally of Turkey in Syria).

In general, the same charges, they only come from the other side of the Syrian conflict. There are many reasons to doubt all this. Why? First, the Kurds are interested in harming Turkey, and here any methods are good. The more Erdogan has external problems, the less assertiveness he will be able to show in the process of solving the Kurdish problem in Syria. Secondly, it is almost impossible to confirm the interviewee’s belonging to the Islamic state. He could have been an ordinary member of this gang or a lower-level commander, or he had never fought in the ranks of the pseudo-Caliphate militants.

Turkish expert Keram Yildirim is sure that this information is false. He doubts in general that the Kurds could capture a man who held such a high post in the ISIS.

The influence of Kurdish armed groups in Syria is gradually falling. First they lost the north-western Aleppo, now they leave from the eastern Aleppo. The most humiliating thing for them is that they are driven out by their allies. Yes, Turkey did not even need at least one shot for this, the US itself agreed to the conclusion of YPG (an abbreviation of the People’s Self-Defense Forces from Kurmanji ) from Manbij. There is no doubt that this will continue. Of course, YPG is interested in delaying this moment or not allowing it at all. It is almost impossible to do this, but if serious disagreements arise over the United States and Turkey over northern Syria, they will be saved for a while. Such accusations are connected with this, with attempts to denigrate Turkey in the eyes of other world leaders, and for this reason, they should not be given serious attention.

That is, Turkey has never had anything to do with the trade with the ISIS?

As a state, Turkey has never had any relationship with ISIS.

We all know that the Islamic state produced and sold oil. But where? Probably, the price that was assigned for this oil, interested many, so businessmen from all over the world could participate in it – from China, from Russia, from Turkey, from the US, from Israel. But these people are not state officials, their actions are not related to the policies of those countries that they represent as citizens.

The Russian political scientist Oleg Gushchin is in solidarity with his Turkish counterpart and also believes that Kurds are interested in denigrating Turkey. “The Kurdish problem is serious, and, of course, the Kurds themselves also want to participate in its resolution and. Now, for example, it is very important for them to break this “triple alliance” between Turkey, Iran and Russia. If Moscow and Tehran convict Ankara in cooperation with the IS, there can be big problems. But Erdogan, Putin and Rukhani have brains and they are unlikely to take such a provocation. In general, now the Kurds can wait for anything.

In the past there was a trade between Turkey and ISIS? Probably, it was so. Yes, someone bought a couple of batches of cisterns cheaply, but this is probably connected only with a thirst for profit. Many names were called. For example, very often Erdogan’s children were accused of this, but not of Erdogan himself. However, this was never finally proved. Now for Russia there is no point in digging into this, because this does not correspond to our foreign policy interests.