Iran in the coming days will hold large-scale military exercises in the Persian Gulf. This is reported by CNN with reference to the administration of the White House. According to the channel, hundreds of military will be involved in them, as well as up to 100 ships and boats and aviation. Experts call the exercise “a demonstration of military power,” noting that in this way Tehran intends to demonstrate its ability to block the Strait of Hormuz. In Washington, they said that they would “closely follow” maneuvers. Earlier, Iranian President Hassan Ruhani warned Donald Trump of ill-considered threats against his country. “Do not play with the tail of a lion,” he urged the US president in response to statements by the American leader on the need to completely block the export of Iranian oil. How the IRGC exercises will affect the situation in the region, RT explained.
Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) is preparing to conduct large-scale exercises in the Persian Gulf waters, which are scheduled for August 2-3. This is reported by CNN with reference to two representatives of the US administration.
According to the TV channel, hundreds of servicemen can take part in maneuvers, including those who do not belong to the Guard Corps, up to 100 ships and boats of the IRGC, coastal missile systems and air units of the country.
“We are aware that Iran is increasing maritime operations in the Persian Gulf, the Strait of Hormuz and the Gulf of Oman. We are closely monitoring this and will continue to work with our partners to ensure freedom of navigation and free commercial navigation in international waters, “US Central Command representative Capt. William Urban quotes CNN as saying.
Alertness of Americans is caused by Iran’s statements about its readiness to block the Strait of Hormuz, which will deprive all countries of the Middle East of the opportunity to export oil. The corresponding idea was submitted by the deputy head of the “Saralla” rate of the Corps of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Ismail Kousari, RIA Novosti specified. Later, the initiative was supported by the country’s President Hasan Ruhani and the supreme leader of Iran, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.
Earlier, the US State Department announced its intention to completely stop the export of Iranian oil. These plans were reported in the White House after Washington withdrew from the nuclear deal, concluded in 2015 by a group of six countries (five permanent members of the UN Security Council and Germany) with Tehran.
Hasan Ruhani warned US President Donald Trump in July of ill-considered actions that could lead to war.
“Mr. Trump, do not play with the tail of a lion, you can regret it. America needs to know that peace with Iran is the essence of peace for all, and war with Iran is a war for all wars, “Rukhani quotes Interfax as saying at a meeting of Iranian diplomats in Tehran.
As explained by RT experts interviewed, Iran’s military exercises are nothing more than a reaction to US pressure. The purpose of this demonstration of military power is to provoke Tehran’s opponents to give up ultimatums and possible forceful methods of struggle, political scientist Mais Kurbanov said in an interview with RT.
“The Iranian army is often underestimated, but it is able to repel attacks by such states as, for example, France or the United Kingdom. The guardhouse numbers more than 400 thousand people – these are religious people who are superbly armed, have the experience of the Iraq war, are well prepared and disciplined. In the event of a real military conflict, about 10 million volunteers from the militia units can literally strengthen them within a week, “Kurbanov said.
The expert also added that the fleet of the Islamic Republic is equipped with mostly small-speed high-speed boats of its own production, which have sufficient armament and maneuverability in order to cause significant damage to large vessels, including American aircraft carriers.
Michael Connell, an employee of the Center for Naval Analysis of the US Institute of Peace, in his article notes that this flotilla patrols the shorelines and the territory of the Persian Gulf since 2007.In this case, according to Connell, the backbone of the regular navy of the Islamic Republic of Iran (IRIN), operating mainly in the Arabian Sea, consists of large ships – frigates, corvettes, submarines.
“Military exercises, during which the fleet will be involved, Iran sends a loud signal not only to the US, but to the whole world:” We do not succumb to ultimatums. Before it’s too late, come to your senses. ” To reach a compromise with the Islamic Republic of about and need not by force, but in the course of the negotiation process, “explained Mais Kurbanov in an interview with RT. According to the professor at the Moscow State University. M.V. Lomonosov, an expert on the Middle East Alexander Vavilov, Iran’s teachings will certainly provoke a response from neighboring states. Countries such as Oman and the United Arab Emirates, which control the Strait of Hormuz on an equal footing with Iran, are likely to strengthen the combat readiness of the border troops. Tehran’s maneuvers will cause some concern for Iraq, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia and Bahrain, Vavilov believes. The Strait of Hormuz for all these countries is the only sea route for energy supplies. According to the EIA, it accounts for about 20% of the world’s volume of oil transportation: “The canal will not overlap, and Iran’s exercises are nothing more than a demonstration. There is a global oil artery here, and Iranians will not act against the whole world: blocking the channel will cause an outcry both of the Persian Gulf countries and of importers, including Japan, the European Union and the United States. The consequences for the world market will be too significant, “- said Alexander Vavilov. The oil tanker near the United Arab Emirates Reuters In his opinion, Washington will react to Iranian maneuvers primarily by public statements. Military strikes from overseas will not follow, even if the strait is actually blocked, Vavilov stressed: “Now the United States is not interested in getting into the affairs of the Persian Gulf. First, Donald Trump has several good lessons that George Bush and George Bush gave to the other US presidents – Iraq and Libya. The Iraqi adventure is being wiped out by many countries so far, and ISIS is a consequence of the policy of the States. Secondly, Trump himself has too weak positions within the country, “said Alexander Vavilov. Mediated pressure Relations between the United States and Iran have become complicated, including under the pressure of Israel and Saudi Arabia, experts say. In their view, it was on the initiative of Tel Aviv and Riyadh that Washington withdrew from the Joint Comprehensive Action Plan (VCPR) on Iran’s nuclear program. So, Alexander Vavilov believes that two Middle Eastern states fear that Tehran will create a so-called “Shiite arc” – a conglomerate of Shiites from Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates. Political analysts point out that such an association can be quite influential, in addition, it will provide Iran with access to the Mediterranean. The Guard of the Revolutionary Guards causes a possible strengthening of Iran’s position in the framework of the settlement of the Syrian conflict, as well as a potential missile attack from the side The Islamic Republic. Alexander Vavilov recalled that Jerusalem had long been demanding that Tehran eliminate long-range missiles and close weapons production. In late July, Israel secured a withdrawal of 85 km from the line of demarcation of pro-Iranian troops in the southern zone of de-escalation in Syria. This was reported by Interfax with reference to the special representative of the Russian President for Syria, Alexander Lavrentiev. He stressed that Russia acted as a guarantor within the framework of the relevant request of Israel: “There are no direct allies with Iran”. At the moment, Iran has no bright allies on the international arena, Rajab Safarov, director general of the Center for the Study of Modern Iran, said in an interview with RT. In his opinion, Russia, Syria and Iraq can be classified as strategic partners of Tehran: “Iraq cooperates with Iran in the sphere of trade, Syria serves as a channel for access to Palestine. Russian-Iranian political relations can be characterized as consistently good, close to friendly. However, they are based primarily on geopolitical interests, “Safarov said.
So, after the US withdrew from the nuclear agreement, Moscow stated that it would continue to adhere to the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (VCPR). Russia also did not recognize US sanctions aimed at banning oil exports from Iran. Russian Ambassador to Tehran Levan Jagaryan said this in July: “We have very close cooperation with Iran as regards the common struggle against terrorists. We are actively interacting both on the ground and on the political track both in bilateral and in a trilateral format with the participation of our Turkish partners, “the diplomat said in an interview with the Kommersant newspaper. The European Union also supports the Islamic Republic on the nuclear issue, , France and Germany. However, according to Safarov, the process of negotiations between the participants of the UCAP and the United States has not made tangible progress, and in the long run one should not expect concessions from Washington. “At the moment, there are no direct allies on Iran in the international arena. I believe, in the case of an escalation
conflict between the Islamic Republic and the United States, Russia will support Iran, mostly with diplomatic or trade instruments. However, Moscow will oppose radical measures both from Iran and the US. The blocking of the Strait of Hormuz will put the world on the brink of a new world war, in which no one will want to get involved, “Safarov said.