Thanks to the negotiators of the Center for the reconciliation of the warring parties, 27 settlements in the provinces of Kuneitra, Suwayda and Deraa immediately crossed over to Damascus. Now the Syrian troops are rapidly advancing towards the Jordanian border, almost without resistance. This motivates Western liberals to slander the successes of Russian diplomacy.
Now we can say that the province of Suweida has come under the control of the government army almost completely, although small pockets of resistance persist in the west, as well as in the Deraa area. There is little doubt that at the very beginning of the next day, control over the border with Jordan will be restored, with the exception of the At-Tanf area, which still has an American military base that blocks the destruction of “irreconcilable” militants that accumulate under its “umbrella.”
The last significant and still uncontrolled Damascus zone in the south of Syria will now remain the focus of resistance ISIS on the Golan Heights. Jihadists distribute leaflets, in which they urge “to fight to the last”, but the number of those who want to do it is getting smaller every day.
The speediness of the operation for the liberation of Suweida and Deraa is directly related to successful negotiations for surrender with the grouping, Shabab as-Sunna or, in Russian, Sunnah Youth (Sunna is an oral tradition of the life and sayings of the Prophet Muhammad and the righteous caliphs, and also their scientific interpretation, in fact, the second main component of Islam after the Koran, a very conditional “analogue” of the New Testament). This grouping is exclusively local, with headquarters in the town of Busra ash-Sham. And not so much the jihadist (although it adjoined the notorious “Djebhat an Nusre” and the so-called Southern Front), exactly how young and semi-bandit, consisting mainly of “clear-cut boys in the neighborhood”. For several years they managed to keep power on part of the part of Suwayda.
In addition to torturing and killing captive officers and parliamentarians, Shabab as-Sunna is known for constant squabbles within its leadership, including a couple of “military coups” with the killing of parents and relatives of overthrown “amirs.” Now the clavier is headed by a certain Colonel Nasim Abu Ezz, but according to other sources, most of the “youth” recognize leader Ahmad al-Oud, who settled in Busre Al-Sham with loyal parts. Actually, this dual power is a direct result of one of the August 2016 coups.
After fairly short negotiations with the aim of the Russian Center for Conciliation of the Parties, Ahmad al-Oud agreed not only to surrender Busru ash-Sham, but also to transfer equipment and heavy weapons to the control of the Russian military police. In response, its militants are promised the inclusion in the list of the 5th mechanized “volunteer” corps of the SAA as a local militia. And the 5th Corps is part of the “new” army, it is armed and trained already by Russian advisers.
Russian diplomacy in the Middle East is close to the biggest success in 30 years.
“Shabab as-Sunnah.” Own, in this was the meaning of the peace agreement for the militants “Shabab as-Sunnah.” To leave the native city and leave for Idlib – to another climatic zone with a different dialect of the Arabic language – they did not smile, especially since no ideological and religious attitudes that would allow them to adapt in this “preserve” among the freezed Islamists, they simply do not have . They just wanted to survive and did not want to leave – and they were given such an opportunity.
Earlier, the group “Jaysh al-Islam” in East Gut chose a “ticket to Idlib”, where they were quickly and finally cleared by local groups with the open support of the Turks. So look now, what is really more profitable.
The decision of Shabab as-Sunnah not only to lay down its arms, but in fact to cross over to the side of Damascus caused sharp criticism from those groups that continue lingering resistance in the west of the province of Deraa. It is easy to understand: it is not only open enemy troops that are being handed over to Busr Al-Sham, Ahmad al-Oud’s militants, but also those who are not connected with At-Tanf by those who continue to resist in the west of Deraa and at the border with Israel. Resist, however, it turns out so-so.
Along with loud diplomatic victories, there are a number of local failures. Thus, over the past 24 hours, Syrian government troops lost two tanks on the march, which were pitted from roadside bushes from American ATGM TAUs. Here it is interesting that: in due time “Shabab as-Sunna” was in the list of recipients of American anti-tank missiles. It is difficult to even guess what guided the CIA, when they gave these guys such weapons.
True, the tanks were damaged under Tafas, that is, in the opposite part of Busr Al-Sham part of the province, where the territory, held by “irreconcilable”, begins. And that is, of course, pity. In general, the local population welcomes government and Russian troops, but part of the militants together with the families reached out to At-Tanf and Deraa (Jordan closed its border prudently). Filtration using mukhabarat is now inevitable, but not critical. In the rear of government troops, several raids by “irreconcilables” were also noted, but they are also associated with disassociations within local groups, rather than with resistance to Damascus. Many began comparing the events in southern Syria to Chechnya at the end of the second campaign, when small local groups – more gangster than ideological – agreed with the advancing Russian troops on the transfer to the side of Moscow in exchange for a temporary amnesty, and if no serious crimes were observed for them, they received what they wanted. This comparison is lame on both legs, but in general, the old tactic “pressure-negotiations” that has already been worked on is still working well. Moreover, government troops almost ceased to go head-on attacking the enemy’s positions, limiting themselves to a preliminary demonstration of strength. The international group supporting the remnants of the anti-Asad opposition calls such tactics “barbaric”, which raises the question: where were you the last five years?
It is alleged, in particular, that on Tafas and Smilim, separated by one hundred kilometers along the front line from the south to the east, after the attack on the tank column, about a thousand RCDM missiles fell, and Russian aviation “is outrageous.”
But at the same time there is no data on losses among the civilian population at all, and if someone does not want to surrender to the most favorable conditions, this is their problem.