In America, they believe that the Russian “Satan” can destroy the Ohio submarines.
Donald Trump’s tweet about the dismissal of National Security Advisor John Bolton not only indicates the boss’s discontent with his subordinates. Everything that the “mustachioed man” did – as the US president sometimes called the guilty politician – did not correspond to the new reality.
In this regard, Bloomberg recalled that the “mustachioed man” before starting work in the Trump administration wrote an article in the Wall Street Journal, in which he advocated a preemptive strike on North Korea. Like, the rogue nation must perish, why not to interfere to help the “normal” peoples. But as it turned out later, in addition to the DPRK, Bolton fiercely hated Iran, Venezuela, Afghanistan and Russia – the only country in the world that could destroy America.
Meanwhile, according to Peter Pry, director of the national security task force for the US Congress and head of the US Nuclear Strategy Forum, America is not in a position to dictate its terms to Russia. Missile technology of the Russian Federation has gone far ahead and de facto changed the rules of the game. However, overseas “hawks” still consider the States to be the most powerful country and “threaten the Colt when an automatic rifle is pointed at them.”
If in the last century (in the case of a preventive Russian strike) the American president had time to evacuate to a safe place, now, figuratively speaking, he will not have time to put on slippers.
In fact, the White House has driven itself into a situational impasse when it is impossible not to put pressure on the Kremlin, but this is extremely dangerous. On the one hand, Trump wants to prove himself a “tough guy.” On the other, according to Dr. Pry, who even worked at the CIA’s “nuclear department” for some time, today the US Strategic Forces are focusing on guaranteed retaliation as the only deterrent to Russia.
Another truth is that Moscow behaves quite cautiously, thereby creating a sense of permissiveness among a number of American politicians. To understand what has changed and what this is fraught with for our country, we cite excerpts from a large article by Peter Pry on the pages of the Pentagon’s Real Clear Defense publication, “Are American Submarines Vulnerable?”
- The most tenacious part of the American triad, consisting of strategic bombers, land-based ICBMs and ballistic missile submarines, are submarines, – writes Peter Pry.
- Only the submarines will remain the last line of containment and defense to defeat the sudden nuclear attack.”
To begin with, American bombers B-52 and B-2, located at three bases Minot AFB (North Dakota), Whiteman AFB (Missouri) and Barksdale AFB (Louisiana). If you look, even North Korea is able to “cover” them with one blow, Peter Pry complains. And in general, “unlike … the Cold War, today not a single US strategic bomber has a nuclear weapon on alert, which could be used on a sudden order.”
As for land-based ICBMs, they are destroyed by 50 Russian Satan missiles. Moreover, this amount is enough for the destruction of strategic US command centers, such as the NORAD headquarters (the joint US-Canadian North American air defense command) based on Peterson AFB and the alternative NORAD headquarters inside Mount Cheyenne.
Only the US strategic submarines remain. But here, too, Americans are largely vulnerable to a surprise strike. It turns out that two-thirds of the Ohio (approximately 9-10 submarine missile carriers) are usually anchored at the bases of Kings Bay and Bangor. – Thus, the main US deterrent against a sudden nuclear attack is 4–5 US submarines with (80–100 total) ICBMs on board patrolling at sea, – says the head of the US Nuclear Strategy Forum.
Peter Pry, although he delineated the topic of strategic submarines, he showed an integrated approach to the problem of national security. That is, it is foolish to compare separately only aviation, tanks or sniper rifles. If, God forbid, a war begins, everything will depend on the survivability of the most protected units from a sudden atomic strike.
Meanwhile, the US Nuclear Strategy Forum, which includes admirals of the US Navy, does not guarantee that even these 4–5 Ohio will survive. First, “old-fashioned spyware and new-fashioned cyber espionage can be a deadly threat to them.” So, during the Cold War, the KGB intelligence network led by John Walker supplied the coordinates of US strategic submarines directly to the headquarters of the Soviet Navy. This means that today, too, there is no guarantee that certain recruited American officers will not transmit similar information to Moscow: big money and blackmail will make anyone accommodating.
In particular, former CIA Deputy Director George Carver, who spent most of his 24-year career working in cryptography and communications, believed that Moscow could continue to use the data of its remaining or new agents in the U.S. Navy.
To the direct question (of the US political leadership, including the president), whether Russia could detect Ohio through intelligence, the answer was something like this: “Maybe it is completely in the dark. Or maybe her spies know the location of every American submarine. ”
If we assume that there is no information leak, then “Russians are very likely to find the remaining submarines.” Even during the years of confrontation with the USSR, Moscow developed “a linear array of hydrophones that could be towed by sea … this technology posed a serious threat to the then American submarines.” In theory, even this old method allows you to detect in a fairly large area of Ohio, with a maximum of a couple of days.
Meanwhile, modern technologies make such miracles possible as imparting “transparency”, for example, to the jungles of Guatemala. In particular, the so-called lidar (Light Detection And Range, or LiDAR), sometimes called 3D laser scanning, has discovered 60 thousand previously unknown ruins of the Mayan civilization. This device, by the way, allows you to scan the sea depths, finding submarines hidden in the water column. And although it was developed by private companies Teledyne Optic Titan and scientists from the University of Houston, information appeared that at first China and then Russia reached a breakthrough in 3D laser scanning.
However, Russia – in which case – will apply a more effective solution against American strategic submarines, Peter Pry is sure. If Moscow knows approximately where the Ohio is located, for example, in a certain 100-mile square, then striking at it with the Satan ICBM with ten nuclear warheads will not leave the crew any chance of salvation. An underwater wave from an explosion will crush any body.
You can have a different attitude to the conclusions of the US Congress national security task force, but in reality it should be scary. This means that the world is indeed on the brink of nuclear war if such influential experts escalate hysteria. Fear of dying from the “first shot” is capable of provoking Washington to be ahead of the curve, and without special reasons for the conflict. Moreover, there are much more such “hawks” like Bolton overseas than sensible politicians. There is no doubt that the fired “mustachioed man” will be replaced by another militant Russophobe, for whom Russians are a “rogue nation”.