The spokesman and, at the same time, the vice-president of the Iranian Atomic Energy Organization, Behruz Kamalvandi, said that, following the first batch of enriched uranium, which, as it turned out, was obtained from Russia earlier this year, his country will soon receive a second one. At the same time, this does not mean Moscow’s violation of the terms of the so-called nuclear deal – the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPA abbreviation). Since the United States several months ago by its unilateral withdrawal from the agreement actually destroyed this document.
Recall that under the terms of the nuclear deal concluded in 2015, Iran voluntarily stopped production of enriched uranium in exchange for lifting its sanctions and supplying the same fuel from abroad. However, the sudden withdrawal of the US from the agreement in May this year has put these agreements in jeopardy. “If the nuclear deal remains in place, other parties should sell us fuel, and if the nuclear deal collapses, there will be no obstacles for us to produce fuel enriched to 20% by ourselves,” Kamalvandi stressed.
Firstly, we note that uranium enriched to 20% is considered sufficient to produce a full-fledged nuclear charge. Secondly, neither Moscow nor Tehran reported officially the exact figure of the cargo that went to storage in Russia in 2015. But the media reported that in fact it was about 40 tons of enriched uranium. According to others, 9 tons of this raw material were exported to our country. Which is also quite a lot.
Russia’s ally supplies its enemies to everything from army trucks to missile systems
Now, as follows from the words of Kamalvandi, this cargo is slowly returning home. Which, of course, is bad news for both the States and Israel, to whom the leadership of the Islamic Republic of Iran in recent years has repeatedly threatened with complete destruction.
According to the IRNA news agency, the fission material under the supervision of the IAEA should be received by experts from the Tehran Nuclear Reactor strictly for civilian research needs in accordance with the agreements reached. Nevertheless, the Israeli edition of the Times of Israel believes that Tehran and Moscow are demonstrating the intention to “return to the state before the JCPOA” as quickly as possible.
For what it is necessary for the Persians – it is understandable. But why Moscow? But about this – below.
The Islamic Republic of Iran (IRI) has already denied the States “a more comprehensive deal” of Trump. So, the Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif told the Tasnim news agency that he has no plans to meet with US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo or other US officials on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly next month. “Americans are dishonest, and their addiction to sanctions does not allow them to negotiate with them,” Zarif said.
As for the position and – the main thing! – the reaction of the EU to the gap initiated by the States of a nuclear deal, then Iran does not see any benefit from the kind words of Europeans. Leading companies of the Old World simply “flee” from the IRI, despite the anti-sanction laws adopted by Brussels. In particular, the shipping giant CMA CGM and energy concern Total recently announced their decision to leave this country, fearing huge fines from Washington.
And while President Hasan Ruhani is still talking about Iran’s commitment to the JCPA agreement, in a telephone conversation with German Chancellor Angela Merkel, he called the compensation package of the European Union “disappointing” and devoid of a “clear road map.” Thus, the Europeans have actually submitted to the dictates of America and are simply trying to save face. Therefore, IRI has the right to expect the return of its large-tonnage stock of low-enriched uranium from Russia.
It, by the way, has enough for Iran to quickly become the owner of at least 7 nuclear warheads. And, thus, in fact, officially enter the “nuclear club”.
In this regard, the situation for Tehran today is much more favorable than three years ago, when the entire Western world boycotted its economy. Now on its side – albeit formally – the EU, China and Russia. In any case, this country has retained the possibility of not too obvious trade and scientific and technical relations with these partners through pavement firms.
However, as soon as Ruhani announces the final “death” of the JCPA, all parties to the agreement, chrome e of Russia, will breathe a sigh of relief. This will happen, most likely, in November, when the second package of US sanctions that will affect Iranian oil comes into effect. Then Tehran will immediately and with a clear conscience begin to create its own nuclear weapons. But our diplomats are likely to immediately begin “black days” because of the reaction of the States. On the other hand, the Iranians have little time for swinging. Maximum – until the next presidential election in the United States. If by 2021 the Democrats come to the White House, they will surely immediately return to the JCPA. Perhaps that is why today the IRI is accumulating forces and resources for a decisive jump. According to the 151-page JCPA agreement, as of October 2015, about 9,000 first-generation centrifuges were operating at the fuel enrichment plant in Natanz. The calculations show that theoretically Iran can produce in them in less than two months the necessary amount of weapon-grade uranium for the first nuclear warhead. However, this estimate almost three years ago assumes that Iran will use only 16 kg of weapons-grade uranium (approximately 90% of U-235 ) in the finished core of each charge. However, today the physicists of the Tehran Nuclear Center already have a level of “average mastery” that will allow them to create a compact nuclear warhead, even from 7 kg of this material, with the capacity (in equivalent) to 18 kilotons of TNT. Let us recall that the “Malysh” bomb dropped by the Americans on Japanese Hiroshima, possessed just such destructive characteristics. Therefore, Iran’s nuclear arsenal in 1,5-2 years can amount to 15 to 20 warheads that can be delivered by having missiles from Tehran to anywhere in the Middle East. True, if the raw materials return to the country. If not, then it will take another five years or more. In these conditions, Moscow can become a scapegoat, since it has the strongest scientific, technical and commercial cooperation with Tehran. But most importantly, Trump will undoubtedly begin to exert powerful pressure on the Kremlin in the coming days to prevent supplies of Iranian uranium stored in Iran by the Iranians. To start with a new blow from abroad, the blocks at the Bushehr nuclear power plant in the south of Iran are likely to fall. And, consequently, – at the same time and the entire nuclear industry in Russia. However, these restrictions will prove to be “flowers” if the United States brings all restrictive measures to the Russian Federation against it. Already unable to do anything with the IRI, in this case, America will definitely become even more angry with Moscow, setting the leadership of our country in front of the hardest choice: Iran or the total blockade of Russia by the West?
Donbass will be offered to move to Russia. The Gosduma prepares a preferential procedure for obtaining Russian citizenship for Russian-speaking people, although it will be less evil, o will result in serious losses, including – the image of the country claiming a high place in the world. The second will be a catastrophe for Russians, as our country still does not have a self-sufficient economy. Well, then in the world there will inevitably be a strategic shift. In any case, Tehran realizes its nuclear program. One can not doubt: after gaining atomic weapons, the leaders of the Islamic Republic of Iran will start blackmailing America by bombing Israel. Demanding the lifting of sanctions. In this situation, Ruhani will leave Trump in a fool, although the full program will get Russia as well. However, there may be a third option. About which, most likely, have already said the presidents of the United States and Russia in Helsinki. This is a political “exchange” of Iran to Ukraine. A number of Western think tanks do not rule out such a development, especially since the “unreliable” has long become a “suitcase without a handle” for the EU and America. After all, if we choose between Tel-Aviv and Kiev, Washington knows exactly what to do.