The standoff between Venezuela and the US Empire clearly ended in what could be called the complete defeat of Elliott Abrams. Although we will never know what was originally planned by crazy neoconservatives, we know, nevertheless, that nothing critical happened – there was no invasion, there were not even any serious operations “under a foreign flag”.
The most remarkable aspect of this confrontation is how little influence the whole US and British propaganda has inside Venezuela. There were clashes along the border, including quite tough ones, but nothing much happened in the rest of the country. In addition, if a handful of high-ranking officers and several soldiers committed treason and joined the forces of the enemy, the overwhelming majority of the Venezuelan armed forces remained loyal to the constitution.
And it also seems that Maduro and his ministers succeeded in developing a strategy that incorporated actions at checkpoints, a concert on the Venezuelan side and, albeit minimal but effective, use of police in policing to keep the border on the castle. Most notably, there appeared to be no “unidentified snipers” who would shoot at both sides (the Empire’s favorite tactic to justify its interventions). For this, I pay tribute to those Venezuelan (or Allied) units that were responsible for counter-sniper operations along the border.
For the Empire, this first confrontation was a defeat outside Venezuela. Not only did most countries of the world not recognize the US puppet, but also the level of protest and opposition to what seemed to be preparing for a possible invasion (or at least to some kind of military operation) was surprisingly high. At the same time, when corporate Mass media did what they always do (that is, anything the Empire would want), the overwhelming majority of those sitting on the Internet and the blogosphere were against direct US intervention. This situation also generated considerable internal political tensions in various Latin American countries, whose public opinion is still categorically against any form of US imperial control over Latin America.
In this sense, the situation with Brazil is particularly interesting. While the Brazilian government fully supported the attempted coup d’état in the United States, the Brazilian military didn’t really like it. My contacts in Brazil correctly predicted that the Brazilian armed forces would refuse to attack Venezuela, and in the end, the Brazilians even made a statement on this matter. Alas, in Latin America there are still a lot of pro-American puppet regimes that recklessly do everything that Uncle Shmuel wants from them (among them Colombia, of course, will be worse, but there are others). And here it is not the main problem.
The main problem is that the neoconservatives cannot accept defeat and that they will most likely do what they always do – to double the power and the number of their blows and further aggravate the situation. The head of the Russian Security Council, Nikolai Patrushev, warned that the United States had deployed special forces in Colombia and Puerto Rico to prepare for a possible invasion. This was an unusual step, but the Russian Foreign Ministry announced intelligence information, which described in detail what plans the Empire and its allies had before the confrontation.
In fact, the leaders of the Empire and their puppets do not hide their determination to overthrow the constitutional government and replace it with a comprador regime that the US has already imposed on Colombia. Pompeo, Abrams and Pence spoke with particularly hysterical threats, but the whole “Lima group” was right there.
As for the Russian ambassador to the UN, he very clearly defined what Russia expects in the future.
Neocons are not even satisfied with the threats of Venezuela alone. John Bolton could not resist and made public threats against Nicaragua, which will be next in line for a regime change sponsored by the United States.
He even talked about the “Troika of tyranny, which resembled the famous“ Axis of Evil. ”
This is not surprising: American politicians always resort to the infantile language of comics when they want to give their threats a special weight. Then they will tell us that Maduro is a “new Hitler” and that he “is carrying out genocide against his own people”, possibly with the help of chemical weapons (“very likely” (very likely, no doubt!). If not, “Maduro will distribute Viagra to the military “to help them rape as many women as possible. Those who are puzzled by the fact that seemingly adult politicians use the language that can be found in elementary school, I can only say that it only reflects the state of political discourse in the USA that was relegated. It’s unbelievably low, but be careful. American politicians are quite comic in their infantile ignorance and illiteracy. Let them have a tremendous list of shameful failures behind them. But the past decades have also shown that they are quite capable of murderous riots (only in Iraq, the US invasion led to the death of over one million Iraqi civilians) or the destruction of a very prosperous country (which Libya was definitely under Muammar Gaddafi).
Further the Empire is likely to strike back.
There is a tiny chance that Abrams & Co will come to the conclusion that the situation in Venezuela is completely confused and that the Empire cannot benefit from it in the short and medium term. Yes it is possible. But this is also unlikely.
The truth is that Mr. “I Will Make America Great Again” and the neo-cons have failed, at least so far, absolutely in everything they tried to do. And if you challenge China, Russia, Iran or even Syria is not easy, then Venezuela is certainly the most fragile of those countries that can be called “countries of resistance.” For example, Venezuela is located far from its allies (except Cuba), it is surrounded by more or less hostile countries (this is especially refers to Columbia), its economy suffers from sanctions and sabotage by the US, and its armed forces are weak compared to the enormous firepower that the Empire has in this region. Add to this the truly demonic thinking of neocons – such as Abrams – and the future of Venezuela will appear bleak.
I have some inner feeling that this approach will not work. As is often the case, the United States have all sorts of impressive capabilities, with the exception of the main one – the armed forces capable of providing “infantry on the ground” (unless it is not a proxy force of non-US origin). The problem for the US military would not be to invade, but to stay and do something after the invasion before leaving – what the US called the “exit strategy.” And here, really, there are no good options for the USA.
Therefore, it is much more likely that the United States will use weapons that they really own better than anyone else on earth — corruption.
Big money is turning around the Venezuelan crisis, really big money – not only from oil trading, but also from drugs. And there are a lot of really malicious and corrupt people involved in this fight. These people will use their weapons – corruption – against a constitutionally elected government with a devastating effect. And, even worse, Venezuela is already devastated by corruption. Nevertheless, there are many factors that may well save Venezuela from re-conquering it by the Empire.
First of all. Although the American neocons are too arrogant to worry about the opinions of anyone other than themselves, and while various US agencies mostly talk to the extremely wealthy rulers of Colombia and other Latin American countries, it seems that the vast majority of Venezuelans support their elected government. Moreover, American leaders simply do not understand how in Latin America (at least among the masses, not the comprador elites), they hate the Yankees, and how fantastically insulting to the vast majority of people of this continent is to appoint a criminal like Elliott Abrams, the envoy of Venezuela.
Secondly. Hugo Chavez and Nicolas Maduro for the first time made it possible for the broad masses of the Venezuelan people to develop, especially to those who lived in conditions of extreme poverty, when Venezuela was still a colony of the United States. These people have no illusions about what it means to them.
And although most supporters of Chávez and Maduro are not influential or rich, there are many of them, and they will probably fight to prevent the complete abolition of all the achievements of the Bolivarian revolution.
Thirdly. Latin America, it may well be changing. Like the Middle East. Remember how for many years the Israelis were able to attack their neighbors with almost complete impunity and how badly the armies of the Arab countries acted? All of this suddenly changed when Hezbollah proved to the entire region and even the world that it was possible to win victories over the “Axis of Good” (USA, Israel, Saudi Arabia), even with relatively small resistance forces, without having air force, naval fleet and the presence of very small volumes of armored vehicles. I do not cease to repeat – in wars, victory is won not by fire power, but by will power.
Yes, of course, firepower helps, especially when you can fire from a distance without risking yourself, and your victim does not have the opportunity to fire back. But as soon as a large firepower encounters great willpower, the first quickly fails. There is a very real possibility that Venezuela can do for Latin America what Ukraine has done for Russia – to act as a surprisingly effective “vaccine” against US propaganda. An indigenous leader – such as Evo Morales, who has declared his full support for the elected government of Maduro – inspires the people of Latin America far beyond their Bolivia.