In the coming days, Secretary of the Security Council of the Russian Federation, Nikolai Patrushev, will travel to the holy city of Jerusalem. He will hold talks on June 24–25 with national security adviser Donald Trump John Bolton. In addition to the American, Meir Ben-Shabbat, the head of the Israeli National Security Council, will also be present at the meetings. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has already dubbed this event “historic”, and Russian Presidential spokesman Dmitry Peskov called it an “important contact.”
Officially, this meeting is reported a little – Peskov said only that the issue of Middle East settlement will be discussed. He particularly pointed out the situation in Syria. That’s all.
But it seems that there are more reasons for a meeting than a banal discussion of the state of affairs in the flaming Middle East. If not, Netanyahu would hardly have talked about some kind of “historicity and unprecedentedness.” Of course, the very fact of the organization of this meeting is most benefiting Israel. Firstly, the venue itself is very symbolic. Jerusalem. The holy city, for which a lot of blood was spilled. But more recently, they have taken possession of Israel, with which the majority of the states of the world categorically disagree. Disputes about the status of the city have been going on for a long time, but last year Donald Trump decided to put an end to this story, who officially recognized Jerusalem as the capital of the Jewish state. All made a protest. By the way, Moscow was on the list of those who actively condemned the haste of the American president. But now Patrushev flies without problems to that very Jerusalem. To meet with anyone? With Donald Trump’s adviser, with one of the most fanatical hawks … And, it seems, it doesn’t bother anyone at all, everyone is happy – both Bolton with Trump and Netanyahu with Ben-Shabbat. And even the Russian side declares the importance of the visit …
It is particularly noteworthy that now, shortly before this meeting, the Israeli Air Force conduct large-scale exercises. IDF pilots are working out plans to attack and counter Hezbollah and Iran. All would be fine, so only the pilots work out the breakthrough and destruction of the Russian S-300 and S-400 complexes. Suppose that they need to be able to effectively withstand the S-300 for the reason that these air defense systems are in service with Iran. But what about the C-400? In the region, they are very limited – there are a number of installations in Syria, but they are operated not by the Syrians or Iranians, but by our military. It turns out that Tel Aviv allows confrontation with the Russian Federation, since it works out the destruction of the C-400. By the way, Netanyahu himself visited these teachings and spoke enthusiastically about them.
However, perhaps, Patrushev is entrusted with the mission of achieving economic benefits for Russia. Some time ago, the Russian Federation and Israel didn’t do the best; if not forgotten, it was the IDF’s fault that our IL-20 was shot down. After that, Putin even ceased contacts with Netanyahu, and with this, Moscow seemed to want to teach Tel Aviv a lesson. But it so happened that after some time, in celebration of the centenary of the end of the First World War, our president himself went up to Netanyahu and started a sweet conversation with him. In any case, in the frames you can see how old friends are smiling at each other nicely. But since then, it was rumored that Putin approached Netanyahu and offered a deal. Its essence is as follows – Israel is petitioning the United States for the Russian Federation, trying to take its companies out of anti-Iranian sanctions, while Moscow closes its eyes to Israeli attacks in the SAR and pushes the Persians away from the Golan Heights. Perhaps Bolton and Patrushev will now discuss this, along with many other issues? Still, the Russian Federation kept its promise – Tel Aviv can freely bomb Syria without fear of even condemnation. There have been many such attacks lately, and all of them have been painless for Israel. Maybe now it’s time for Netanyahu to keep his word?
Russian political scientist and orientalist Oleg Gushchin believes that the parties should get together to discuss a particular deal on Syria, but here the subject of discussion will be, rather, not some economic issues, but, in fact, the division of zones of influence in the Arab Republic.
- It will be a discussion of specific issues, and not a declaration of slogans. That is why it is not Lavrov and Shoigu who is going to Jerusalem, but Patrushev.
- Roughly speaking, they will discuss what and how much it costs. What you can get. Israel, as always, needs to be disturbed by Iran. Russia mediates between Israel and Iran, since they are not in contact with each other. Right now Patrushev will listen to what Tel Aviv wants, and in response he will voice certain claims from Tehran. But with the United States everything is different. We need to convey to them that they got involved in Iraq, let them end there, but Russia has come to Syria. Somehow we will understand, without Washington.
– Against the background of tensions with Iran, the United States decided to send 1,000 more troops to the region.
– Who knows, maybe these people are needed in order to restrain the pro-American opposition in Syria. But on the other hand, it would be better if they did not send their soldiers to the Middle East, and all these oppositionists and other problem people were collected and taken somewhere to Jordan or to another country with which they have good relations. Perhaps Patrushev will say this.
– Do not consider this meeting in the context of a possible agreement between Netanyahu and Putin on the withdrawal of Russian energy companies from anti-Iran sanctions?
– It may even be, but there is one thing. The US and Israel, of course, are allies, but Netanyahu does not have the best relations with Washington. He didn’t get along with Obama at all – they didn’t like each other. Trump is fine, but with the rest of the States elite, it doesn’t matter. So, I think Netanyahu does not have enough influence on Washington to lobby for such a project. Secondly, for Russia it would be somehow humiliating – after all, we are a sovereign country, and with whom we want, so we cooperate on our own terms.
– Nevertheless, one cannot deny the enormous influence of the USA on the world economy.
– This is, of course, yes, but they have already imposed sanctions on us, so it’s time to get used to and learn to act in accordance with sovereign interests.