About the new threat in Syria.
Militants from the group ISIS after the fall or, if you want, the defeat in Yarmuk and other suburbs of Damascus, for several months now it has not controlled any settlement with urban development.
That is, from the quasi-state, in fact, nothing remains in the simplest and most primitive sense.
Administrative institutions are destroyed, and armed gangs are scattered across the desert. In Syria and Iraq, in fact, there is no such building, over which would fly the black flag of the “Caliphate”.
But what does it really mean: the triumph of government forces or the new rules of the game? Let’s try to answer this question honestly and reasonably.
This summer, I managed to stay in Syria for a while, and, you know, it really became much calmer there. In Damascus, there are significantly fewer checkpoints, the tension associated with regular shelling of residential areas by militants from Al-Guta, is no longer felt, and on the highway from the capital to the international airport you can ride safely even at night, without fear that a group of sneaks terrorists.
For the first time in seven years, from the daily life of Damascus, the permanent sense of the front has departed. I remember that in the autumn of 2013, when I was living in one of the central hotels, every evening I fell asleep under the howling of sirens of ambulances: from the outskirts, where battles were going on without stopping, the wounded soldiers of the SAA were constantly being transported, and the whole city was breathing war. Now all this is gone.
However, when our trip to Damascus came to an end and we went to the airport, where we were going to fly home to Moscow, we did not succeed in making a vigorous farewell safhi with the Syrian military at one of the roadblocks at the passenger terminal.
It was worth us to gently slow down in front of the concrete blocks, like soldiers, nervously twisting the AK gates and bringing the gun to the shooting position, surrounded our white Hyundai Avante, and even the Alawite dialect of our guide could not calm the cocked fighters.
Only after he handed them the military certificate and our Russian passports, the guys who surrounded the car exhaled and took the loaded trunks aside. It turns out that for all checkpoints, literally five minutes before our appearance, there was an orientation towards the mined Hyundai Avante of white color. The favorite tactic of terrorists is to send suicide bombers on machines packed with explosives, directly to the points of SAA inspection.
This incident, of course, smeared the impression of the picture of a peaceful life in Damascus and made me wonder whether it is really wonderful in fact and whether ISIS is truly defeated?
Subsequently, carefully monitoring the combat reports of this summer and constantly being in contact with the guys from the special purpose units that are currently working in Syria, we can now make an unambiguous conclusion: after the terrorists of the ISIS lost control over the settlements, it only became possible to fight them more difficult.
When it was an organized confrontation, then, respectively, the process of evacuation and the provision of the same medical care was well-adjusted. Now no one knows where to wait for the blow.
The region most tense in this sense is the so-called “Vilayat Badia”. So in its terminology it is denoted by the supporters of the “caliphate”. It is a fat slice of the desert in the southeast of Syria, which extends beyond the territory of neighboring Iraq.
There are hiding nedobitye battalions ISIS, who make regular sorties to the position of the SAA in the city of Abu-Kemal. After such attacks by ISIS, the losses among the government forces of Bashar Assad are sometimes calculated in dozens.
And one more important aspect: having lost administrative resources on the earth in real cities, ISIS continues to work actively in the virtual world. The terrorists’ press service regularly delivers fresh video reports on the activities of the group in the Middle East to the network, and even the most modern security systems are unable to “spill” all their materials from the same YouTube and other social networks.
ISIS still has its heroes, that is, field commanders, who most often appear in their military rollers, have new speakers in return for those who died under the attacks of Russian military security services or as a result of ground-based special operations.
Previously, nobody knew the faces and speakers of ISIS from the “Wilayat Badia” who took on the mission of being for the “Caliphate” something like the new Rakka, unanimously declare in their video addresses to the government forces:
“After driving us out of cities, you made our work easier. Before, you knew where we were, and saw us on the flags on the buildings. Now we can observe every your
movement, hiding in the desert, and you do not see us at all. “These statements simultaneously have a mockery and a threat. And most importantly – a real danger. It seems that after a series of defeats the ISIS regrouped and, as they say, rebooted the system. It was arranged for new circumstances. So the war does not end, and the “Caliphate” did not disappear – it just became invisible. And to fight with it now will have to be different, because it is obvious: it is not possible to defeat one by bombs.