In any case, he will not become “like Putin” or “like Macron”, although he wins a deafening victory.
So, the elections in Ukraine are over. With high probability, it can already be argued that the victory in the second round of the presidential election in Ukraine goes to Vladimir Zelensky, despite the fact that inadequate Ukrainian lawyers tried to remove his candidacy from the election race late Saturday, which already gave away Ukrainian nonsense.
So, according to preliminary data, exit poll for showman Vladimir Zelensky cast their votes 72.7% of voters. The current president Poroshenko is gaining 27.3%. According to other data, 73.2% of voters voted for Zelensky, 25.3% voted for the current president. They both are crossed 1.05%.
According to the latest data, more than 62% of Ukraine voters came to the polls, which is a record for Ukraine. As residents of Ukraine told us, in these elections there were a lot of young people, those who are most afraid of their future and understand that the Poroshenko regime will give them nothing. So, Zelensky is leading. And in all regions of the country.
However, nobody doubted Poroshenko’s defeat from the very beginning, and even the ex-president himself, who threw out the white flag, saying the day before that “he would accept any victorious president”. In Moscow, judging by the reaction in social networks, they also “decided” their choice between current Ukrainian president and those who sympathized to the former comedy club resident. However, even with certain expectations from Zelensky, in Russia they are guided only by the phrase “it won’t be worse” and they are going to carefully observe its first steps, but no more. In the current situation with the “changing of the guard” in Ukraine, it is more important what the Ukrainians themselves expect from their new president. They choose and live with him.
The fact that Poroshenko during his muddled and unpredictable government brought Ukraine to the war and poverty, lowering the standard of living to an unprecedented “height”, disintegrating the economy, industry, agriculture – is obvious and clear, and the Ukrainians themselves feel it in their wallet.
Nevertheless, Poroshenko had the main “fad” – European integration, a turn to face the West, which he talked about tirelessly and that he still deserves for himself. Remember the popular slogan of 2014: «Ukraina Tse Europa» – «Ukraine is the Europe»? Everything else turned out to be secondary, even skipping on Independence for chanting: «One who does not jump – is Moskal!» Were more likely not even against Russia, but for Europe. Lustration, with putting officials in garbage cans, fighting corruption, the war in the Donbass and promises to «return the Crimea» were only distracting factors. And throwing a bone to the people with a European smell, Poroshenko rightly played on the desires of people in the west, in the east of the country – the electorate for him as a result of the vote. They wanted Europe – here it is for you, albeit in a somewhat neutered form.
Unlike Poroshenko, Zelensky doesn’t have such a unifying, even if ephemeral, slogan, at least, until he had time to think of it. It is hardly possible to consider the words of the vice-president that «a new life begins, normal, without corruption, without bribes». He himself probably behind the scenes found it funny. For election slogans it will come down, but not for the person who will lead the next five years and, what a nuisance, also to lead Ukraine. Zelensky himself said that for more than one term he did not intend to pull this heavy cargo and generally sees Ukraine as a parliamentary republic, where the role of the president is leveled and allows him to engage in personal hobbies.
Without a clear and well-thought-out program for the development of the country, the new president of Ukraine will have to first use the “groundwork” of its predecessor. The hike to Europe is not canceled, NATO membership remains in dreams (with the obligatory holding of a referendum), “we don’t scatter our lands” – this is about the “occupied” Donbass and compensation from Russia for “aggression”, and other blah blah blah Poroshenko’s rhetoric. Nothing new, at least he could say a joke about the decline in prices for food.
However, even in the election program, Zelensky told “about Ukraine of his dream” – a country where only salutes shoot, where you can quickly open a business, get a passport, where everyone gets decent salaries and pensions, and corrupt officials are in prisons. He promised to make a wealthy every citizen of the country – this is the dream of every Ukrainian. To achieve this, according to Zelensky, it is possible by introducing a “zero declaration” for business, when everyone can declare and legalize their income for 5%.
Replace the income tax with a tax on the withdrawn capital, detennization of the economy and freedom of competition. To develop domestic production, to ensure long-term affordable lending, to form a transparent land market. Well, in general, a bomb – to transfer the state to its own energy resources. The Ukrainians, charmed by such promises, sang: “Stay a boy with us – you will be our king.”
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How to do all this, Zelensky doesn’t really represent it himself – he’s not really grown up from short pants, he hasn’t even tried these pants on. “Growth Disease” at the presidential post is guaranteed to him, as well as to any other leader who soars to such a high post even unexpectedly for himself.
“Vladimir Putin, summoned from St. Petersburg and rapidly passing through the steps of the FSB director, secretary of the Security Council, head of government in Moscow, when he was appointed“ tired ”by Yeltsin acting president of Russia, was also at a loss,” says political strategist Sergei Vinogradov. – At first, he spent all nights in the office and could not imagine how to manage him not even with the position he received, but with the country as a whole. “What can be done better for Russia?” He asked others, who then could not be called his team, and sincerely worried about the misunderstanding of many questions. It is difficult to imagine now, but Vladimir Vladimirovich, the “great Pu,” looked like a confused first grader who was put at the desk, but they forgot to call the teacher. It was only later that he “pulled over” the army to his side, said the famous “we will drench in the toilet”, slowly but stubbornly built the vertical of power throughout the country. Almost twenty years it took him to become the Putin we now have.
Zelensky will not be “like Putin”, at least in the foreseeable future. Firstly, because he does not have the motivation to become the leader of a nation. Secondly, he will always look back on those who promoted him to the presidency. Thirdly, he does not have his cohesive team of like-minded people, except for his colleagues in show business. Fourthly, there is neither political nor economic experience, without which it is simply impossible to clear the Ukraine’s Augean stables. Fifth, on his side there is no army, no other power structures, and the “former” will in every possible way try to put a stick in the wheels of an inexperienced politician. Even if we imagine that Zelensky will manage to adequately pass all these tests in the end and will really be able to achieve positive dynamics in the development of Ukraine, he will not become like “Putin” anyway because he doesn’t do … sambo. This is a joke for the repertoire of Zelensky himself – I donate.
- Zelensky is not destined to become new Macron, – continues Nikita Krichevsky, Doctor of Economics, Professor.
– The French President did not jump out of the snuff box to the political arena; he managed to be a minister of the country’s economy, has banking experience, led the Forward! Centrist movement and claimed the role of the “new de Gaulle”. Again, it is naive to compare France, which occupies the 7th place among countries with a highly developed economy, and Ukraine, which received the “honorable” 6th place among the worst economies in the world. And if Makron is accused of lagging behind Germany and cutting back on social benefits within the country, then the future list of Zelensky’s failures will be much wider.
What Ukraine is doing well so far is that it is the largest recipient of transfers in the region, which last year amounted to a record amount of $ 14 billion. This happened due to the continuing growth of economic activity in Poland, Russia, Spain and the United States, those countries that are the main source of remittances to Ukraine. That is, the citizens of Ukraine as a whole earn beyond its borders much more than within the country. This is a very dangerous situation for the economy of Ukraine itself, where there are no opportunities for internal development. Some of the people who “drove off” have money in the jug, and the “left” have it. This is a potential part of the protest electorate, which soon will surely ask its president about such an injustice and readily put on vests of some color.
The presidential elections in Ukraine (second round) started at 8.00 am on April 21 – about 30 thousand polling stations worked until 20.00.
According to the sociological data of the Kiev International Institute of Sociology (April 9 – 14), almost three times more voters are ready to vote for the leader of the Servant of the People Party Vladimir Zelensky in the second round than for President Petro Poroshenko. Among those who have made their choice, 72.2% of respondents intend to support a novice in politics, the current head of state – 25.4%. An autopsy (ballot box), as they say, will show – the final vote count should be announced before May 1.